Would Michigan primary consolidation stop at state/federal and municipal offices?

...or ultimately include the presidential primary as well? A thought experiment on the incentives of primary movement.

Sep 19 • 

Josh Putnam

August 2025

DNC Chair Martin lays out early state checklist for 2028

The boxes prospective early calendar states will have to check are potentially a little different than they were for 2024

Aug 4 • 

Josh Putnam

July 2025

Are the Iowa caucuses coming back to the early Democratic presidential nomination process?

After 2024, Democrats in the Hawkeye state were always going to make a push, but a return to the early window on the calendar is complicated.

Jul 10 • 

Josh Putnam

2

1

June 2025

The 2028 Democratic primary calendar and the recent DNC committee appointments

Reading the tea leaves, most of the traditional early states could get a boost

Jun 6 • 

Josh Putnam

January 2025

Jimmy Carter and the post-reform evolution of the presidential nomination process, Part 2

A look at how the 39th president and his campaigns influenced how presidential nominees in the United States are chosen

Jan 10 • 

Josh Putnam

Jimmy Carter and the post-reform evolution of the presidential nomination process, Part 1

A look at how the 39th president and his campaigns influenced how presidential nominees in the United States are chosen

Jan 9 • 

Josh Putnam

1

November 2024

The 2028 Presidential Primary Calendar Plus

Tracking the evolution of the timeline of delegate selection events that will determine the next presidential nominees

Nov 25, 2024 • 

Josh Putnam

The Trump campaign polling was right

...and that was four weeks ago.

Nov 8, 2024 • 

Josh Putnam

Obligatory 2024 post-election post

It's the econom(ic perceptions), stupid. Plus some other thoughts after the Trump victory.

Nov 7, 2024 • 

Josh Putnam

The FHQ+ Electoral College Map -- FINAL

The final 2024 presidential projections

Nov 5, 2024 • 

Josh Putnam

The FHQ+ Presidential National Popular Vote Projection -- FINAL

Candidate popular votes shares based on a graduated weighted average of national polls

Nov 5, 2024 • 

Josh Putnam

1

4

The FHQ+ Electoral College Map (11/3/24)

About that Iowa poll, plus the last survey releases the are flooding in ahead of Tuesday

Nov 4, 2024 • 

Josh Putnam